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為什麽有很多名人讓人們警惕人工智慧?

2017-12-14心靈

人工智慧很可能導致人類的永生或者滅絕,而這一切很可能在我們的有生之年發生。


上面這句話不是危言聳聽,請耐心的看完本文再發表意見。這篇轉譯稿轉譯完一共三萬五千字,我從上星期開始翻,熬了好幾個夜才翻完,因為我覺得這篇東西非常有價值。 希望你們能夠耐心讀完,讀完後也許你的世界觀都會被改變。

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內容轉譯自http:// waitbutwhy.com
原文地址:
The AI Revolution: Road to Superintelligence
The AI Revolution: Our Immortality or Extinction

自2015年2月24日起轉載請務必私信咨詢,否則視為未授權轉載 知乎 @謝熊貓君

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因為知乎的字數限制,這裏只能發截圖,字數太多錯別字難免,已經在知友幫助下修改了很多, 截圖修改不方便,一切以文字版為準。


轉載請轉載文字版。



如果想要看文字版的可以移步我的知乎專欄:
為什麽最近有很多名人,比如比爾蓋茲,馬斯克、霍金等,讓人們警惕人工智慧?


















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相關來源:

The most rigorous and thorough look at the dangers of AI:
Nick Bostrom – Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies

The best overall overview of the whole topic and fun to read:
James Barrat – Our Final Invention

Controversial and a lot of fun. Packed with facts and charts and mind-blowing future projections:
Ray Kurzweil – The Singularity is Near

Articles and Papers:
J. Nils Nilsson – The Quest for Artificial Intelligence: A History of Ideas and AchievementsSteven Pinker – How the Mind WorksVernor Vinge – The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era
Nick Bostrom – Ethical Guidelines for A SuperintelligenceNick Bostrom – How Long Before Superintelligence?
Nick Bostrom – Future Progress in Artificial Intelligence: A Survey of Expert Opinion
Moshe Y. Vardi – Artificial Intelligence: Past and FutureRuss Roberts, EconTalk – Bostrom Interview and Bostrom Follow-UpStuart Armstrong and Kaj Sotala, MIRI – How We’re Predicting AI—or Failing ToSusan Schneider – Alien MindsStuart Russell and Peter Norvig – Artificial Intelligence: A Modern ApproachTheodore Modis – The Singularity Myth
Gary Marcus – Hyping Artificial Intelligene, Yet Again
Steven Pinker – Could a Computer Ever Be Conscious?
Carl Shulman – Omohundro’s 「Basic AI Drives」 and Catastrophic Risks
World Economic Forum – Global Risks 2015
John R. Searle – What Your Computer Can’t Know
Jaron Lanier – One Half a Manifesto
Bill Joy – Why the Future Doesn’t Need Us
Kevin Kelly – Thinkism
Paul Allen – The Singularity Isn’t Near (and Kurzweil’s response)
Stephen Hawking – Transcending Complacency on Superintelligent Machines
Kurt Andersen – Enthusiasts and Skeptics Debate Artificial Intelligence
Terms of Ray Kurzweil and Mitch Kapor’s bet about the AI timeline
Ben Goertzel – Ten Years To The Singularity If We Really Really Try
Arthur C. Clarke – Sir Arthur C. Clarke’s Predictions
Hubert L. Dreyfus – What Computers Still Can’t Do: A Critique of Artificial Reason
Stuart Armstrong – Smarter Than Us: The Rise of Machine Intelligence
Ted Greenwald – X Prize Founder Peter Diamandis Has His Eyes on the Future
Kaj Sotala and Roman V. Yampolskiy – Responses to Catastrophic AGI Risk: A Survey
Jeremy Howard TED Talk – The wonderful and terrifying implications of computers that can learn